PLAYER PERFORMANCE LOG
Add a prop to research
Enter up to 10 completed games, oldest → newest. Last-5/last-10 hit rates are descriptive, not modeled probabilities.
NFL / 2026 SEASON ANALYTICS DASHBOARD ↗
THE ODDS
DON'T TELL
THE WHOLE STORY.
Compare NFL odds and player props, review recent performance and injuries, and check outdoor game-day weather—all without pretending a historical hit rate is a prediction.
Explore the edge scanner ↗ILLUSTRATIVE PRICE DISLOCATION
MARKET FAIR PROBABILITY
BEST BOOK PRICE
01 / 03
TRACK THE DISLOCATION
TRACK THE DISLOCATION
BUILT FOR THE DATA, NOT THE HYPE01 — BETTER PRICES + CLEARER DECISIONS
MARKETS SCANNED30Across upcoming games
PRICE WATCHES03Market proxy EV ≥ 3.0%
SPORTSBOOKS06Best available lines
VALIDATED MODEL EDGES—No independent model connected
01 / THE SHORTLIST
Price watchlist.
Promising market discrepancies worth investigating. Not independently validated betting recommendations.
02 / THE WORKBENCH
The odds scanner.
Compare prices and inspect the numbers behind each signal.
| GAME / KICKOFF | SELECTION | BEST BOOK | BEST ODDS | BREAK-EVEN | NO-VIG FAIR | PROXY EV | MODEL EV |
|---|
03 / PLAYER RESEARCH
The player prop lab.
Capture historical game results, injury notes, and kickoff weather context. Manually entered data stays on this device until an automated feed is connected.
PROP PRICESAPI feed not connected
PAST GAMES / INJURIESManual entry in this prototype
GAME-DAY WEATHEROn-demand forecast for outdoor stadiums
STADIUM + WEATHER
Kickoff conditions
Forecast is shown for open-air venues. Retractable roofs are conditional until the roof position is confirmed. Fixed enclosed stadiums do not receive a weather adjustment.
Select a game to inspect the stadium.
Forecast: Open-Meteo · Free noncommercial API. Weather is not automatically converted into player-prop probabilities.
Injury reports matter beyond the player: a missing starting offensive lineman, receiver, cornerback, or quarterback can change a player's expected opportunity. Record relevant teammates in the research notes.
SAVED PLAYER RESEARCH
Your prop watchlist
Stored only in this browser. Export a copy to avoid losing it if you clear site data.
No props saved yet. Use the form above to build your research list.
04 / UNDER THE HOOD
Know the difference.
An attractive number without a reliable probability is just a guess. Here's how we keep the analysis honest.
REMOVE THE VIG
Normalize a sportsbook's implied probabilities to remove its built-in margin. Compare multiple other books at the identical market and line.
FIND THE BEST PRICE
Compare odds from every available bookmaker. The no-vig reference excludes the sportsbook offering the selected best price.
CALCULATE EXPECTED VALUE
EV = probability × net payout − probability of loss. Positive market-proxy EV is a screening signal, not evidence of genuine advantage.
VERIFY WITH A MODEL
An independently built and backtested model would be needed to label an edge as statistically supported. That model isn't connected yet.
WHAT THIS SITE DOES — AND DOESN'T DO
Market probabilities and past-game hit rates are not independent forecasts. Prices, injuries, roof status and weather can change. Player history and injury notes are manually entered until a verified ingestion pipeline is connected. No validated player-prop model is connected. Use for research, not guaranteed returns.